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UFC 293: Israel Adesanya vs. Sean Strickland Prediction & Betting Tips 09/09/2023

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Preview

This Saturday, September 9th around 10:00 P.M ET, we’re set to witness the battle for the UFC middleweight belt. The Qudos Bank Arena will light up on UFC 293 Night, where Nigerian fighter Israel Adesanya defends his title against American Sean Strickland.

UFC 293: Israel Adesanya vs. Sean Strickland odds

The display we’ll witness this Saturday marks Adesanya’s eleventh championship fight. Get to know more about how these titans are approaching this clash!

Head to head and key stats

Israel Adesanya

Israel Adesanya is back to defend the title he reclaimed in April against Alex Pereira. Adesanya has faced brutal competition in his last 10 fights, all being title bouts. Impressively, he’s far from faltered. The New Zealand-raised Nigerian scored 8 wins and only 2 defeats; the highlight of his career? A staggering 24 wins and just 2 losses!

In his last 8 victories, Israel managed to knock out his opponents 3 times, with the remaining 5 wins coming through unanimous decisions. Notably, his knockouts were secured in the second round, surpassing the 3-minute mark.

Regarding his two losses, one came via unanimous decision, extending the fight to five rounds, while he was knocked out in the fifth round against Pereira. Adesanya is a resilient and fierce fighter, giving nothing away to his opponents.

Known as “The Last Stylebender”, the Nigerian boasts a high striking accuracy, landing an average of 50% of his blows. However, takedowns aren’t his strong suit, succeeding only 14% of the time.

Israel Adesanya’s defence is also worth noting, with a 58% efficiency in defending significant strikes and a 78% takedown defence rate.

Sean Strickland

The American is up against the toughest test of his career. With a 27-5 record, the UFC’s 5th ranked contender is fighting for the championship for the first time. Like Adesanya, his fighting style is that of a striker, promising an intense battle with little grappling involved.

In his last 10 fights, Strickland shares the same record as “The Last Stylebender”: 8 wins and 2 losses. 3 of those victories were by knockout, while the remaining 5 were decisions (4 unanimous and one split).

Discussing his latest 2 losses, one was by knockout and the other a split decision. The knockout artist? Alex Pereira.

Strickland’s attack falls short compared to his opponent, averaging a 41% significant strike connection rate. Unlike Adesanya, his takedown is more effective, completing 11 out of 28 attempts.

On the flip side, his defence is commendable, boasting a 64% significant strike defence rate and an 84% takedown defence efficiency.

Prediction

Play for the final result: Match Winner Israel Adesanya 1.15

The favourite for this bout is Israel Adesanya. Despite Sean Strickland’s careful attack and defence, they don’t match up to the Nigerian’s championship fight experience and significant strike connection percentage. Moreover, Adesanya has overcome Alex Pereira, who was Strickland’s nemesis in his last defeat.

Betting Tips

In addition to considering the main market, which is a victory for Israel Adesanya, we suggest placing your picks on the following markets:

Israel Adesanya wins by KO, TKO, DQ. or Submission 1.95

Total Rounds, Under 4.5 1.80

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