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Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays travel to Petco Park on Friday, with the San Diego Padres hosting the series. The first inning starts at 9:40 PM ET. San Diego has a negative record at home this season, winning five out of their eleven contests at Petco Park. However, Toronto struggles on the road, so both teams must improve.
The Blue Jays had a successful series against the New York Yankees. Toronto won the series’ first two games. San Diego won a three-game series against the Milwaukee Brewers, taking two contests by at least three runs. But can the Padres fix their home record against the Blue Jays this week?
Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres Head-to-Head and Key Stats
The latest series between the Toronto Blue Jays and San Diego Padres was in 2023. After posting nine runs against the Blue Jays, San Diego won the series opener. Toronto got just one run in the first game, with George Springer getting home in the first inning via a Matt Chapman single. However, the Blue Jays got revenge on the Padres in the most recent contest.
Their latest game started slowly, with just one run in the opening six innings. Jordan Luplow’s single to center got the contest’s first run via Santiago Espinal. We had to wait until the seventh inning to get the next run, with Toronto on the board again. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. destroyed Luis Garcia’s eighth pitch of the game, securing his 15th homer of the season. With Espinal standing on third in the bottom of the eighth, Kirk launched the ball into the stands, giving Toronto a four-run lead. The Padres had no reply in the last innings, losing 4-0 against the Blue Jays.
The second game of the series wasn’t a thrilling contest. Both sides struggled at bat, with the Padres getting eight hits throughout the game. The Blue Jays posted just six hits and didn’t score a run. In the fifth inning, Manny Machado produced the most exciting action of the contest. Machado singled to center, getting Trent Grisham and Ha-Seong Kim home. They were the only runs created during the game, with the Padres securing a 2-0 victory over Toronto.
The Toronto Blue Jays have ten wins and nine losses this season. Toronto struggled against the Tampa Bay Rays, but they’ve been slowly improving. An impressive series over the Colorado Rockies and New York Yankees provided much-needed confidence. Yet, the San Diego Padres are struggling with consistency in 2024. San Diego is performing much better than a 11-10 team, posting plenty of runs against strong teams.
The last series between the Blue Jays and Padres had two low-scoring games, so both teams will be keen to post runs on Friday. When looking at the batting statistics, Jake Cronenworth could be the difference maker. Cronenworth has 14 RBIs this season, with three home runs and a batting average of .254. Justin Turner has the most RBIs on the Blue Jays’ roster, with the third baseman posting nine. Turner has just one homer but an impressive BA of .333 across Toronto’s opening 17 games.
However, when analyzing the pitching statistics, Toronto has the advantage. Jose Berrios is one of the early stars this season, posting an ERA of 1.05 after 25.2 innings pitched. Berrios has a 100% win record of 3-0. He’s also thrown 21 strikeouts and will cause huge issues if he pitches against the Padres. Dylan Cease is San Diego’s biggest threat, but he’s no match for Berrios. Waldron has an ERA of 1.99 in 22.2 innings, with a 2-1 record from the mound.
Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres Predictions
Correct Score Prediction: San Diego Padres 5-2 win over the Toronto Blue Jays
We predict the San Diego Padres will beat the Toronto Blue Jays. We expect over 6.5 runs, and our correct score prediction is a Padres 5-2 win over the Blue Jays. Fernando Tatis Jr. and George Springer will get over 0.5 runs on Friday.
The San Diego Padres and Toronto Blue Jays need to be more consistent, with both sides narrowly maintaining a positive record. Toronto travels to Petco Park in San Diego on Friday, but they’ve had issues on the road. The Blue Jays have just four wins away from home and we predict they’ll lose again. San Diego isn’t great at home, but we believe they’ll win by a three-run margin over Toronto.
The Padres are impressive at-bat, posting 109 runs in 21 games. They’ve conceded 97, but San Diego’s offensive threat should concern the Blue Jays. Toronto has only got 73 runs, allowing 90 in 19 contests. Our correct score prediction is a San Diego 5-2 win over the Blue Jays. We expect the game to start slow, with no runs in the first three innings. In their latest series against each other, two contests had one or fewer runs in the opening three innings.
Fernando Tatis Jr. is having an amazing season for the Padres. He has five home runs and 23 hits in 21 games. The fielder also has 15 runs, and we predict he’ll make an impact against the Blue Jays. Novibet’s sportsbook lets you wager on player picks when betting on baseball events. We suggest betting on Tatis Jr. to get over 0.5 runs on Friday. Toronto isn’t a high-scoring side, with their batters struggling this season. However, we believe George Springer is an excellent selection. Springer has the joint-most runs on the Blue Jays’ roster, posting nine in 21 games. Our pick is wagering on Springer to get over 0.5 runs against the Padres.
The San Diego Padres recalled LHP Adrian Morejon from AAA El Paso.
RHP Pedro Avila has been designated for assignment. pic.twitter.com/hvsnalOlbO
— MLB Roster Moves (@Roster_Moves) April 13, 2024
Toronto Blue Jays vs San Diego Padres Betting Picks
The San Diego Padres won their latest series over the Toronto Blue Jays. San Diego’s record isn’t great, but their threat at-bat will be too much for the Blue Jays to handle. Our sportsbook favor the Padres at -118. Betting on San Diego via the moneyline is a great MLB wager and should return a healthy profit. However, we’ve analyzed the alternative markets if you’re looking for increased-risk bets.
Some of the biggest returns come via the home runs market. Everyone loves homers when watching the baseball, and Novibet lets you capitalize on these moments of joy. It’s best to use bonus funds because of the high-risk nature of these bets, but we believe Fernando Tatis Jr. is an amazing choice. Tatis Jr. has the most home runs for the Padres and won’t miss an opportunity to increase his tally. Using the player pick markets, we can bet on Tatis Jr. to get over 0.5 home runs. With three homers this season, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is your best bet when wagering on Toronto.
We predict San Diego will beat Toronto by a three-run margin. Betting on the Padres via the moneyline is a great option, but you can use the spread to increase your returns. Wagering on San Diego at -2.5 at +220 significantly increases your profits and will land if our correct score prediction is accurate. You can bet on Toronto via the spread by adding points to their tally. However, the returns on these wagers are usually low. Picking the Blue Jays at +3.5 returns a winning bet if we’ve accurately predicted the score.
Baseball moves slower than other major sports, which some fans might see as a negative. However, that gives us more time to analyze the contest when live betting. Wagering on the total runs in the first five innings is a fantastic way to bet during the game. We predict the start of the contest will be quiet, so our pick is betting on under 3.5 runs. The total hits market is also worth monitoring. Our choice is under 9.5 hits, as it’s unlikely that either side will come out swinging at the start.
Toronto Blue Jays Team News
The Toronto Blue Jays have two players returning this weekend. Erik Swanson pitched in the minor leagues and is ready to return to the MLB. Swanson is on the 15-day injured list, but will probably return against San Diego. Jordan Romano is also nearing a comeback, with the relief pitcher completing his rehabilitation. However, it’s not all good news. The Blue Jays predict Dann Jansen won’t play this weekend, despite the catcher finishing rehab for a wrist injury. Jansen will probably play against the Kansas City Royals next week.
We need Swanson and Romano back ASAP. #TOTHECORE
— BlueJays Muse (@BlueJays_Muse) April 10, 2024
San Diego Padres Team News
Drew Carlton has spent most of the season with the El Paso Chihuahuas’ medical team, but the relief pitcher is almost back to full fitness. The San Diego Padres signed Carlton on a minor league contract in November, and the pitcher has played 11 games in the major leagues for the Padres. San Diego recalled Adrian Morejon from El Paso last week, with right-hander Pedro Avila designated for assignment. The Padres haven’t suffered many injuries this season, so their roster could be unchanged against the Toronto Blue Jays.
